{"id":95076,"date":"2021-12-14T06:39:24","date_gmt":"2021-12-14T06:39:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alj.com\/?post_type=perspective&p=95076"},"modified":"2022-09-21T06:55:31","modified_gmt":"2022-09-21T06:55:31","slug":"%d8%b3%d8%b7%d9%88%d8%b9-%d9%8a%d9%8f%d8%ad%d8%aa%d8%b0%d9%89-%d8%a8%d9%87","status":"publish","type":"perspective","link":"https:\/\/alj.com\/ar\/perspective\/%d8%b3%d8%b7%d9%88%d8%b9-%d9%8a%d9%8f%d8%ad%d8%aa%d8%b0%d9%89-%d8%a8%d9%87\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0633\u0637\u0648\u0639 \u064a\u064f\u062d\u062a\u0630\u0649 \u0628\u0647"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u0648\u062c\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a 19.3 \u062c\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0640 13.2 \u062c\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2019\u060c \u0644\u064a\u0631\u0633\u062e \u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0643\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0644\u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0634\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 (PPA) \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0637\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0637\u0627\u062a. \u0648\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0635\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0646\u0634\u0637\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u063a\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0639\u0648\u0636 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0645\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062c\u0645 \u0639\u0646 \u062c\u0627\u0626\u062d\u0629 \u0643\u0648\u0641\u064a\u062f-19 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u062a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a 100 \u062c\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0627\u0637.<\/p>\n

\u0648\u062c\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0644\u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0642 \u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0641\u0642\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0648\u0643\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627.\u00a0 \u0648\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0647\u064a \u0623\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0646\u062f\u0627 \u0648\u0625\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627[5]<\/a>\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0639\u0632\u0632\u062a \u0623\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0643\u0631\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0628\u0633\u0645\u0627\u062d\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0636\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062c\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0628\u062f\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 40 \u0643\u064a\u0644\u0648\u0648\u0627\u0637 \u0625\u0644\u0649 750 \u0643\u064a\u0644\u0648\u0648\u0627\u0637\u060c \u0645\u062f\u0639\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u062d\u062a\u0649 10 \u0645\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0627\u062a. \u0648\u0633\u062c\u0644\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u064b\u0627 \u0628\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 4.8 \u062c\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0627\u0637 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2020\u060c \u0628\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0647\u0627 25\u066a \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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\u0648\u0646\u062c\u062d\u062a \u0625\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 2.6 \u062c\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0627\u0637\u060c \u0628\u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u062d\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0646 \u0647\u062f\u0641\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a 4.8 \u062c\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0627\u0637 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642 (\u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u062d\u0631\u0641\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0635\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0645\u062d\u0637\u0629 \u062a\u0648\u0644\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0647\u0631\u0628\u0627\u0621 \u062a\u0645 \u0637\u0631\u062d\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a)\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0641\u0627\u0638 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0631\u064a\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627. \u0648\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u062a \u0645\u0646\u0634\u0622\u062a \u0622\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u062f\u0634\u064a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2020 \u0628\u0646\u062d\u0648 1.5 \u062c\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0627\u0637\u00a0 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0634\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0628\u062b\u0642\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u0637\u0629 \u0642\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630 \u0628\u0633\u0639\u0629 100 \u062c\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0627\u062a.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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\"\"<\/p>\n

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\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0634\u0647\u062f\u062a \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636\u064b\u0627 \u0628\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 0.057 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0643\u064a\u0644\u0648\u0648\u0627\u0637 \u0633\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2020\u060c \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0640 0.381 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0643\u064a\u0644\u0648\u0648\u0627\u0637 \u0633\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0639\u0634\u0631 \u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a.[15]<\/a> \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u0633\u062c\u0644\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0647\u0631\u0648\u0645\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 (0.044 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0643\u064a\u0644\u0648\u0648\u0627\u0637 \u0633\u0627\u0639\u0629) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u064a\u0629 (0.039 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0643\u064a\u0644\u0648\u0648\u0627\u0637 \u0633\u0627\u0639\u0629) \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0649 \u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062c\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2020.<\/p>\n

\u0648\u062a\u0631\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0643\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062c\u062f\u062f\u0629 (IRENA<\/a>) \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u062c\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e \u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 2050\u060c \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0635\u0644 \u0633\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0625\u0644\u0649 15000 \u062c\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0627\u0637 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645. \u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0634\u0643 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u062a\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u062a\u0633\u062e\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0624\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Source: IRENA World Energy Transitions Outlook 2021.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

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